SkyKing162's Baseblog



A fan of the Yankees, Red Sox, and large sample sizes.


6.23.2004
 
YET ANOTHER PRODUTIVE OUTS ARTICLE

In case there was any doubt that Productive Outs and PO Percentage are a waste of digital storage space, as well as a waste of our time, Larry Mahnken sticks another (his sixth?) fork in POP.


Comments:
Well, strikeouts can't be sac flies, and can't advance a runner. But they also can't be double plays. So yeah, strikeouts and ball-in-play outs are different.

I'd always read that the net value of a strikeout was slightly worse than a ball-in-play out.

Extrapolated runs (a linear weights formula) puts a strikeout at -.098 runs, and a ball-in-play out at "only" -.090 runs. So yeah, I'd say Mahnken's hierarchy should probably have the order of those two results switched.
 
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